COIN FLIP ODDS CALCULATOR HOW TO
COIN FLIP ODDS CALCULATOR TRIAL

COIN FLIP ODDS CALCULATOR TRIAL

An event is an outcome of a trial that we have a specific interest in, like getting heads when you flip a coin.

A trial is an experiment or a process that leads to random outcomes, like rolling a dice or flipping a coin.

īefore we move to the next section, let's establish the following terms:

Hence, your probability of victory is 2 6 = 1 3 rac 6 2 = 3 1 . In the dice example above, you win if you roll a four or a six, meaning you have two favorable outcomes out of six possible outcomes. Sometimes it is convenient to speak about it in percentages. You can see that the value of any event's probability must lie within 0 − 1 0-1 0 − 1. If you're at the point where your best chance at progressing in the tournament is by taking a coin flip, you need to think in terms of this:īasically, you need to avoid calling all-in bets with easily dominated hands.Here P ( A ) P(A) P ( A ) is the probability of the event A A A. Play the Best Online Tournaments on PokerStars When is Your Best Chance Taking a Flip? Everything You Need to Know About Fold Equity.If you're always making that choice as the caller you're reducing your edge and counting on luck to bail you out. If you're never making any moves it's going to be terribly difficult to force your opponent into making a mistake.įorce your opponents to have to choose to flip with you or fold. If the opponent calls, then you're a 50% shot.Īs you can see the caller never has any fold equity while the pusher always does. In other words you want to be the aggressor, the pusher. When this happens you win the pot 100% of the time. Just by being the player to have pushed you have the chance that your opponent will fold. But the player pushing actually has a better opportunity at making money. It's not possible to put an exact number to it but the concept is simply known as fold equity. Since these situations will go both ways (between the pusher and the caller) we'll exclude those situations from this conversation.)Īfter removing those situations, the player calling is calling for a 50% shot at taking the pot. (Note: there are times when both players have a pocket pair or some other combination of hands that give one player an edge over the other. In the majority of all coin flip situations one player moves all-in and the other player calls. While you can't choose not to take coin flips, you can choose when to take them.

COIN FLIP ODDS CALCULATOR HOW TO

The Building Blocks of Poker: How to Calculate Pot Odds.To sum up: You don't want to be taking coin flips but there will come a point where taking a flip becomes your best chance at staying alive or making it deep. You're forced to play the situation, regardless of the actual hands in play. These factors force you to flip simply to stay alive in the tournament. Unfortunately, in a poker tournament, the increasing blind pressure adds other factors into play. This is sound advice and is exactly what you should be doing (for the most part) in cash-game Hold'em. Wait until an opportunity arises in which you have more favorable odds. If the odds are poor, any decent investor would tell you simply not to invest.

In case you're unsure about investment odds and probabilities, those are not good odds. The poker equivalent of the coin flip is getting it all in against one opponent with your probability of winning approximately 50%.Īnytime you flip, you're risking your tournament life (or a portion of your very valuable chips) with a 50% chance at missing. So how can you make the most of it? What is a Poker Coin Flip?įor clarity: Naturally, we're not talking about the actual act of flipping a coin here (although many poker players have won and lost large amounts of money doing just that). With pressure from the rising blinds and players fighting for a finite number of chips, it's not possible - or rather it's completely improbable - you'll make it through any poker tournament without ever being in a coin-flip situation. Regardless of the overall structure of a poker tournament or the style you play, you'll be forced to take some coin flips on your path to the title.

Coin flip odds calculator